I don't know, we saw restraint in the Clinton years. Not because of any virtue on the part of the Blues, but as an emergent property of having a President new to DC and from a weak and disorganized party, facing off against a united opposition party.
I'm pretty sure that Obama will be a weak President....OK, I said the same thing about W, and I was so incredibly wrong, but Obama is a Blue freshman Senator. There's no way that Congressional Reds will roll over for him. They'll dig out a rule book that lets them filibuster and stuff.
__________________
"the only thing worse than a freeper is a blue state freeper that doesn't realize they're a freeper." -dhex
I don't know, we saw restraint in the Clinton years.
Yeah, given the fact that I've never actually been alive during the reign of a real "tax and spend! tax and spend!" Democrat, I have a really hard time freaking out because of the prospect of a return to Democratic control. It can't possibly be worse than a "tax and spend and make WAR!" Republican.
__________________
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
My suspicion is that if Obama wins the presidency, two years later Congress will swing hard Republican, same as it did in 1994.
I don't think so. For one thing, it's already moved too far to the Democratic side for a serious shift to bring the Republicans back to power, the system being set up to favor incumbents as much as it is. If they want control back in 2010, they're going to have to start picking up seats now, or at the very least stop losing them, or else the margin will be too wide to overcome quickly. For another, the Republican Congress has absolutely nothing that they can sell to the voters to provide a reason to go for them. The Democrats can at least say (right or wrong) "we aren't the people who masterminded the disasterous war, or who let their party's leader go nuts with spending." They're lying, of course, but the Reps can't exactly say that. They don't have an ideological basis to build on, or a decades-long groundswell that they were on the right side of.
The Professor Farnsworth Effect will probably hurt too; as young voters (who are, if the surveys are to believed, much less Republican these days) start to enter the ages where voting starts to matter, the Republican neglect will start to matter.
__________________
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
My suspicion is that if Obama wins the presidency, two years later Congress will swing hard Republican, same as it did in 1994.
I don't think so. For one thing, it's already moved too far to the Democratic side for a serious shift to bring the Republicans back to power, the system being set up to favor incumbents as much as it is.
The GOP doesn't need control. They just need to be motivated to oppose. They were ineffective opposition to Team Blue through the Reagan and Bush administrations because they had the Oval Office. So Democratic spending only got token Congressional resistance, because the real resistance was focused at 1600. Once Clinton went into office, they learned to filibuster and bitch and moan and block and generally stand athwart history yelling "Stop!". They'll show what a congressional opposition can do even without taking back either house by 2010.
Quote:
The Professor Farnsworth Effect will probably hurt too; as young voters (who are, if the surveys are to believed, much less Republican these days) start to enter the ages where voting starts to matter, the Republican neglect will start to matter.
Oh, you kids are soooo funny. Youngster support for the GOP was at a historical peak from 1998-2006. The kiddies who are sliding back to Team Blue are just returning to a long-time historical trend. Believe me, liberalism amongst the under-30s is nothing new, and the GOP is used to succeeding without the young vote.
__________________
"But if it makes you feel better, I would also enjoy a world in which there are men, women, transsexuals, genderqueer folk, etc. who all enjoy pelican role-play." - JD
"Extraordinary conditions may call for extraordinary remedies. But the argument necessarily stops short of an attempt to justify action which lies outside the sphere of constitutional authority. Extraordinary conditions do not create or enlarge constitutional powers." - Chief Justice Charles Evans Hughes
Yeah, given the fact that I've never actually been alive during the reign of a real "tax and spend! tax and spend!" Democrat, I have a really hard time freaking out because of the prospect of a return to Democratic control. It can't possibly be worse than a "tax and spend and make WAR!" Republican.
First off, you're wrong. Republicans aren't tax and spend, they're borrow and spend. This is actually far more nefarious as it encourages big government, by reducing the perceived costs of services, and pushing the day of reckoning forward. Though, I agree, the Democrats that were president in my lifetime were pretty good on the economy, even Carter (he was screwed by previous administrations). Though I think there's a big difference between presidential Dems and Congressional ones. Congressional Dems are much more tax and spend than the Presidential ones. I think this is largely due to the fact that presidents often need to play against their type to get reelected and respected.
__________________
If you don't want to be arrested by the Park Police, don't go to the Jefferson Memorial.
Oh, you kids are soooo funny. Youngster support for the GOP was at a historical peak from 1998-2006. The kiddies who are sliding back to Team Blue are just returning to a long-time historical trend.
Actually Grandpa, you're wrong on this one. Young people are much more likely to have a positive view of governmental action and to be less socially conservative than older Americans are. The conservative rhetoric plays much worse among current young people than it does the oldsters who used to be the young demographic. It was Gen X that supported the Conservative realignment; the "Millennials" as a group tend to share their Baby Boomer parents' attitude about governmental programs. And those trends were happening even before the GOP started a massive failure of a war. Nothing turns people off like failure.
Quote:
Believe me, liberalism amongst the under-30s is nothing new, and the GOP is used to succeeding without the young vote.
The problem for the GOP is that the young vote doesn't stay young forever. And, in the same way that the Democrats faced a Republican movement that was fueled by the resentments of younger voters, the GOP is going to face a similar problem when young people become old people and start voting, unless they work now to defuse the bad feelings that they're creating.
__________________
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
Uh, last I checked, the war was considered a massive failure only starting in 2005. I don't see how this makes gramps wrong.
EDIT: Except by clear-eyed, rational people like thoreau, who have been telling us since 1985 that the response to 9/11/01 should not be to invade Iraq.
__________________
This is a personal problem. There are very few personal problems that cannot be solved through a suitable use of high explosives. This is not one of those exceptions.
Uh, last I checked, the war was considered a massive failure only starting in 2005. I don't see how this makes gramps wrong.
EDIT: Except by clear-eyed, rational people like thoreau, who have been telling us since 1985 that the response to 9/11/01 should not be to invade Iraq.
That wasn't me in 1985. That was future me in 1985, and he was shot before my eyes. The trauma of seeing that has made me strident, and hence when I'm eventually sent back in the time machine I'll be so strident that my mission will fail and I'll be shot. And it's a shame, because 1985 was otherwise such a good year: Bruce Springstein, Madonna, way before Nirvana, there was U2, and Blondie, and music still on MTV.
__________________
"the only thing worse than a freeper is a blue state freeper that doesn't realize they're a freeper." -dhex
Uh, last I checked, the war was considered a massive failure only starting in 2005. I don't see how this makes gramps wrong.
Because he's the one who's saying that it was the war that reversed the trend away from conservatism among younger people. I'm saying that it was part of an already occurring generational shift that was turned up to 11 as a consequence of events on the ground. Taken as a group, in no sense are the current crop of 18-28-year-olds swayed by small government rhetoric. If the Republicans don't want to keep losing as they begin to grow older and actually start voting in reliable numbers, they'd better either hope something happens to change that or find new rhetoric to sell.
__________________
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
Uh, last I checked, the war was considered a massive failure only starting in 2005. I don't see how this makes gramps wrong.
Because he's the one who's saying that it was the war that reversed the trend away from conservatism among younger people. I'm saying that it was part of an already occurring generational shift that was turned up to 11 as a consequence of events on the ground. Taken as a group, in no sense are the current crop of 18-28-year-olds swayed by small government rhetoric. If the Republicans don't want to keep losing as they begin to grow older and actually start voting in reliable numbers, they'd better either hope something happens to change that or find new rhetoric to sell.
Ah. Now I understand. Why can't you both be right?
Mommy, why are they fighting?
Well, the Hippies turned into the ugliest Yuppies you ever did see, so a few tax hikes will likely moderate this trend a little.
I'd also say that Gen X was pretty pro-Clinton, just, you know, we couldn't get too excited about him, as we live in a constant miasma, experiencing neither highs nor lows.
Homer: What's that like?
Lisa: Meh.
Thoreau: Such a drama queen. "This war will kill thousands of people. My future self was shot before me eyes. Waaah."
__________________
This is a personal problem. There are very few personal problems that cannot be solved through a suitable use of high explosives. This is not one of those exceptions.
Ah. Now I understand. Why can't you both be right?
Just not a fan of being condescended to by old people during a debate. Funny, that.
Quote:
Well, the Hippies turned into the ugliest Yuppies you ever did see, so a few tax hikes will likely moderate this trend a little.
And the WWII generation remained reliably pro-big government program for their entire demographic existance. If the economy goes even more to hell, and the kleptocracy continues unabated and unhidden, expect something similar to happen. In fact, I'd say it's even more likely to happen, since they already seem to have a strong but latent will to collectivism that the baby boomers/gen xers didn't and don't share.
EDITed: For clarity.
__________________
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
This is a personal problem. There are very few personal problems that cannot be solved through a suitable use of high explosives. This is not one of those exceptions.
And the WWII generation remained reliably pro-big government program for their entire demographic existance.
They could afford to, for purely selfish reasons. The first people who collected Social Security payments got a HELL of a lot more out of the system than they ever put in; it's members of my generation (and those after me) who are getting fucked over a barrel by the system. The World War Two generation benefited by government funding for college educations; my generation (and those after me) are the ones who instead found government funding turned into "tuition rising far faster than inflation, and the only way to afford college is to take on debt that'll take years to pay off."
And I agree with Mo that tax-and-spend Democrats beat the hell out of borrow-and-spend Republicans, for the same reason that "spending money as fast as you make it" is still better than "putting shitloads of purchases on a credit card, thus spending money faster than you make it." A net worth of zero beats the hell out of a net worth that's a large negative number.
They could afford to, for purely selfish reasons. The first people who collected Social Security payments got a HELL of a lot more out of the system than they ever put in; it's members of my generation (and those after me) who are getting fucked over a barrel by the system. The World War Two generation benefited by government funding for college educations; my generation (and those after me) are the ones who instead found government funding turned into "tuition rising far faster than inflation, and the only way to afford college is to take on debt that'll take years to pay off."
And you don't suppose that the people who lost all their money, land or other property in the banks as the economic system began to swallow poor people whole after WWI and continuing through the Depression didn't feel the same way? Look at history; this is nothing new whatsoever. at the end of the road we're on is an economic collapse followed by some new(ish) form of collectivism. Because that's how people are when things get *really* bad.
__________________
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
Uh, last I checked, the war was considered a massive failure only starting in 2005. I don't see how this makes gramps wrong.
EDIT: Except by clear-eyed, rational people like thoreau, who have been telling us since 1985 that the response to 9/11/01 should not be to invade Iraq.
That wasn't me in 1985. That was future me in 1985, and he was shot before my eyes. The trauma of seeing that has made me strident, and hence when I'm eventually sent back in the time machine I'll be so strident that my mission will fail and I'll be shot. And it's a shame, because 1985 was otherwise such a good year: Bruce Springstein, Madonna, way before Nirvana, there was U2, and Blondie, and music still on MTV.
Maybe you succeeded in the other timeline, since, in ours, Blondie broke up in 1982.
EDIT: As to my mission, scientists of the future will find ways to predict butterfly effects. They determined that the commercial success of Ricky Martin's "La Vida Loca" set in motion a chain of events that ultimately led to the Iraq War. Something about some people meeting at a concert and therefore not being in the right place at the right time to get in a car accident that would have killed Mohammed Atta. I was sent to work as Ricky Martin's tutor while he was in Menudo, and I tried to persuade him to pursue a career in medicine. But it was a tough acting job for me to pull off, because I didn't actually think that the world needed one more pre-med, and I got into an argument in a bar after a frustrating day, and my stridency got me shot in the street, right in front of the younger me in 1985, and that set me on a path to stridency.
__________________
"the only thing worse than a freeper is a blue state freeper that doesn't realize they're a freeper." -dhex
Re: Brother can you spare $400 billion (and $482 billion next ye
I don't know, we saw restraint in the Clinton years. Not because of any virtue on the part of the Blues, but as an emergent property of having a President new to DC and from a weak and disorganized party, facing off against a united opposition party.
I'm pretty sure that Obama will be a weak President....OK, I said the same thing about W, and I was so incredibly wrong, but Obama is a Blue freshman Senator. There's no way that Congressional Reds will roll over for him. They'll dig out a rule book that lets them filibuster and stuff.
"the only thing worse than a freeper is a blue state freeper that doesn't realize they're a freeper." -dhex
hoisted by their own waterboard!
-dhex
Re: Brother can you spare $400 billion (and $482 billion next ye
Yeah, given the fact that I've never actually been alive during the reign of a real "tax and spend! tax and spend!" Democrat, I have a really hard time freaking out because of the prospect of a return to Democratic control. It can't possibly be worse than a "tax and spend and make WAR!" Republican.
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
Re: Brother can you spare $400 billion (and $482 billion next
My suspicion is that if Obama wins the presidency, two years later Congress will swing hard Republican, same as it did in 1994.
NO! LONG! SUBJECT LINES!
I don't think so. For one thing, it's already moved too far to the Democratic side for a serious shift to bring the Republicans back to power, the system being set up to favor incumbents as much as it is. If they want control back in 2010, they're going to have to start picking up seats now, or at the very least stop losing them, or else the margin will be too wide to overcome quickly. For another, the Republican Congress has absolutely nothing that they can sell to the voters to provide a reason to go for them. The Democrats can at least say (right or wrong) "we aren't the people who masterminded the disasterous war, or who let their party's leader go nuts with spending." They're lying, of course, but the Reps can't exactly say that. They don't have an ideological basis to build on, or a decades-long groundswell that they were on the right side of.
The Professor Farnsworth Effect will probably hurt too; as young voters (who are, if the surveys are to believed, much less Republican these days) start to enter the ages where voting starts to matter, the Republican neglect will start to matter.
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
Re: NO! LONG! SUBJECT LINES!
The GOP doesn't need control. They just need to be motivated to oppose. They were ineffective opposition to Team Blue through the Reagan and Bush administrations because they had the Oval Office. So Democratic spending only got token Congressional resistance, because the real resistance was focused at 1600. Once Clinton went into office, they learned to filibuster and bitch and moan and block and generally stand athwart history yelling "Stop!". They'll show what a congressional opposition can do even without taking back either house by 2010.
Oh, you kids are soooo funny. Youngster support for the GOP was at a historical peak from 1998-2006. The kiddies who are sliding back to Team Blue are just returning to a long-time historical trend. Believe me, liberalism amongst the under-30s is nothing new, and the GOP is used to succeeding without the young vote.
"But if it makes you feel better, I would also enjoy a world in which there are men, women, transsexuals, genderqueer folk, etc. who all enjoy pelican role-play." - JD
"Extraordinary conditions may call for extraordinary remedies. But the argument necessarily stops short of an attempt to justify action which lies outside the sphere of constitutional authority. Extraordinary conditions do not create or enlarge constitutional powers." - Chief Justice Charles Evans Hughes
Re: Brother can you spare $400 billion (and $482 billion next ye
First off, you're wrong. Republicans aren't tax and spend, they're borrow and spend. This is actually far more nefarious as it encourages big government, by reducing the perceived costs of services, and pushing the day of reckoning forward. Though, I agree, the Democrats that were president in my lifetime were pretty good on the economy, even Carter (he was screwed by previous administrations). Though I think there's a big difference between presidential Dems and Congressional ones. Congressional Dems are much more tax and spend than the Presidential ones. I think this is largely due to the fact that presidents often need to play against their type to get reelected and respected.
If you don't want to be arrested by the Park Police, don't go to the Jefferson Memorial.
Re: NO! LONG! SUBJECT LINES!
Actually Grandpa, you're wrong on this one. Young people are much more likely to have a positive view of governmental action and to be less socially conservative than older Americans are. The conservative rhetoric plays much worse among current young people than it does the oldsters who used to be the young demographic. It was Gen X that supported the Conservative realignment; the "Millennials" as a group tend to share their Baby Boomer parents' attitude about governmental programs. And those trends were happening even before the GOP started a massive failure of a war. Nothing turns people off like failure.
The problem for the GOP is that the young vote doesn't stay young forever. And, in the same way that the Democrats faced a Republican movement that was fueled by the resentments of younger voters, the GOP is going to face a similar problem when young people become old people and start voting, unless they work now to defuse the bad feelings that they're creating.
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
SKANQUE - THE PERFUME FOR SHORT SUBJECT LINES
Uh, last I checked, the war was considered a massive failure only starting in 2005. I don't see how this makes gramps wrong.
EDIT: Except by clear-eyed, rational people like thoreau, who have been telling us since 1985 that the response to 9/11/01 should not be to invade Iraq.
This is a personal problem. There are very few personal problems that cannot be solved through a suitable use of high explosives. This is not one of those exceptions.
Re: SKANQUE - THE PERFUME FOR SHORT SUBJECT LINES
That wasn't me in 1985. That was future me in 1985, and he was shot before my eyes. The trauma of seeing that has made me strident, and hence when I'm eventually sent back in the time machine I'll be so strident that my mission will fail and I'll be shot. And it's a shame, because 1985 was otherwise such a good year: Bruce Springstein, Madonna, way before Nirvana, there was U2, and Blondie, and music still on MTV.
"the only thing worse than a freeper is a blue state freeper that doesn't realize they're a freeper." -dhex
hoisted by their own waterboard!
-dhex
Re: SKANQUE - THE PERFUME FOR SHORT SUBJECT LINES
Because he's the one who's saying that it was the war that reversed the trend away from conservatism among younger people. I'm saying that it was part of an already occurring generational shift that was turned up to 11 as a consequence of events on the ground. Taken as a group, in no sense are the current crop of 18-28-year-olds swayed by small government rhetoric. If the Republicans don't want to keep losing as they begin to grow older and actually start voting in reliable numbers, they'd better either hope something happens to change that or find new rhetoric to sell.
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
Re: SKANQUE - THE PERFUME FOR SHORT SUBJECT LINES
Ah. Now I understand. Why can't you both be right?
Mommy, why are they fighting?
Well, the Hippies turned into the ugliest Yuppies you ever did see, so a few tax hikes will likely moderate this trend a little.
I'd also say that Gen X was pretty pro-Clinton, just, you know, we couldn't get too excited about him, as we live in a constant miasma, experiencing neither highs nor lows.
Homer: What's that like?
Lisa: Meh.
Thoreau: Such a drama queen. "This war will kill thousands of people. My future self was shot before me eyes. Waaah."
This is a personal problem. There are very few personal problems that cannot be solved through a suitable use of high explosives. This is not one of those exceptions.
Re: SKANQUE - THE PERFUME FOR SHORT SUBJECT LINES
Just not a fan of being condescended to by old people during a debate. Funny, that.
And the WWII generation remained reliably pro-big government program for their entire demographic existance. If the economy goes even more to hell, and the kleptocracy continues unabated and unhidden, expect something similar to happen. In fact, I'd say it's even more likely to happen, since they already seem to have a strong but latent will to collectivism that the baby boomers/gen xers didn't and don't share.
EDITed: For clarity.
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
Re: Brother can you spare a gross generalization?
young, old, black white, as americans we're all statist cunts.
"Yeah, but my character would be all swav and deboner." - Warren
SCOOBY DOO WHERE YOU AT
with sand in our vaginas.
This is a personal problem. There are very few personal problems that cannot be solved through a suitable use of high explosives. This is not one of those exceptions.
Re: SKANQUE - THE PERFUME FOR SHORT SUBJECT LINES
They could afford to, for purely selfish reasons. The first people who collected Social Security payments got a HELL of a lot more out of the system than they ever put in; it's members of my generation (and those after me) who are getting fucked over a barrel by the system. The World War Two generation benefited by government funding for college educations; my generation (and those after me) are the ones who instead found government funding turned into "tuition rising far faster than inflation, and the only way to afford college is to take on debt that'll take years to pay off."
And I agree with Mo that tax-and-spend Democrats beat the hell out of borrow-and-spend Republicans, for the same reason that "spending money as fast as you make it" is still better than "putting shitloads of purchases on a credit card, thus spending money faster than you make it." A net worth of zero beats the hell out of a net worth that's a large negative number.
Re: SKANQUE - THE PERFUME FOR SHORT SUBJECT LINES
And you don't suppose that the people who lost all their money, land or other property in the banks as the economic system began to swallow poor people whole after WWI and continuing through the Depression didn't feel the same way? Look at history; this is nothing new whatsoever. at the end of the road we're on is an economic collapse followed by some new(ish) form of collectivism. Because that's how people are when things get *really* bad.
I CAUTION YOU / IN DEFEATING ORCS WE MAY FIND THE ONLY VILLAIN LEFT TO FACE IS OUR OWN PREJUDICE--qwantz.com
Re: SKANQUE - THE PERFUME FOR SHORT SUBJECT LINES
Maybe you succeeded in the other timeline, since, in ours, Blondie broke up in 1982.
Re: Brother can you spare $400 billion (and $482 billion next ye
Hey, take it up with Bowling for Soup.
EDIT: As to my mission, scientists of the future will find ways to predict butterfly effects. They determined that the commercial success of Ricky Martin's "La Vida Loca" set in motion a chain of events that ultimately led to the Iraq War. Something about some people meeting at a concert and therefore not being in the right place at the right time to get in a car accident that would have killed Mohammed Atta. I was sent to work as Ricky Martin's tutor while he was in Menudo, and I tried to persuade him to pursue a career in medicine. But it was a tough acting job for me to pull off, because I didn't actually think that the world needed one more pre-med, and I got into an argument in a bar after a frustrating day, and my stridency got me shot in the street, right in front of the younger me in 1985, and that set me on a path to stridency.
"the only thing worse than a freeper is a blue state freeper that doesn't realize they're a freeper." -dhex
hoisted by their own waterboard!
-dhex